Archive for November, 2008

What’s a few trillion between friends?

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

Remember the good old days when $25 billion was enough money to keep the wolves from your door for at least a couple of months? Well $25 billion doesn’t stretch the way it used to especially when you are a global bank with operations around the world and you are too busy to keep account of your exposures to the various new fangled financial instruments that have been all the rage.

The people at the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department are understanding folks though and what is a few hundred billion dollars of protection among friends. So on Sunday, these angels of the banking community passed out another $20 billion to Citigroup—on top of the $25 billion Citi received in October from the Troubled Asset Protection Program (TARP) and agreed to back $306 billion in questionable debt held by Citi.

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Congress takes on CDS

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

It was probably only a matter of time before someone in Congress whipped up a bill on the current red hot issue in the derivatives industry, credit default swaps (CDS) trading platforms. And today someone did, when Sen. Tom Harkin (D-IA), Chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee, introduced the Derivatives Trading Integrity Act, which aims to “establish stronger standards of openness, transparency and integrity in the trading of swaps and other over-the-counter financial derivatives.”

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What is fair value?

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Throughout the current market turmoil every analyst has been asking: is this the bottom? Most respond that it is or close enough that investors should reenter the market. But that is the nature of equity brokers who pass themselves off as market gurus.

But with near 1,000 point daily swings a common occurrence in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow closing today below 8,000 for the first time since March 31, 2003, it may be a good time to take a little more scientific approach.

John Di Tomasso, a valued based commodity trading advisor (CTA) attempted to do just that in a letter he sent out to investors and friends of his program.

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Euro: Feeling skittish

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

This morning just before 8:00 a.m. the euro was trading at 126.30 and over the next hour traded up 184 pips to 128.14, a startling move, especially given the lack of earth shattering economic releases and natural disasters.

“Given that this market trades $29 million per second, $2.5 trillion per day, I can’t imagine what kind of an order it would take to move the euro 150 pips,” says Ken Lazzara, chief dealer at EasyForex.

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New beginnings?

Thursday, November 13th, 2008

Back in 1980 Frank Pusateri, Bucky Isaacson and a small group of futures traders met in Chicago to form an organization to serve the interests of commodity trading advisors (CTAs). The organization was the forerunner to the Managed Futures Association, which morphed into the Managed Funds Association (MFA) at the turn of the century.

In recent years many CTAs have felt the efforts of the MFA have focused on the institutional hedge fund universe to the detriment of its original managed futures trading founders.

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Playing politics at FIA Chicago

Thursday, November 13th, 2008

The coming Administration of Barack Obama and Democratic control of the House and Senate raise several questions about futures industry regulation. How will new Congressional committee appointments affect current regulation? Which anti-speculation bills will Congress revisit in 2009? Who will be appointed to lead the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)? Will the CFTC even exist by this time next year? A panel of experts tried to untangle these knots at the Futures Industry Association’s annual expo in Chicago yesterday, and the consensus was that anything could happen.

Since the futures industry doesn’t seem to be as broken as the securities side, change could come later rather than sooner, the panelists said. “The new administration…is going to be focused on things that are broke, not things that are not broke,” said Terry Duffy, CEO of CME Group. “I don’t see them going after merging [the SEC and CFTC].”

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FIA Expo snapshot: Mark Bagan and MGEX

Wednesday, November 12th, 2008

On Dec. 19, the Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) will close its floor trading operation. The trading floor will likely be used for office space and a museum, says Mark G. Bagan, president and chief executive officer.

“Our largest floor locals are actually trading more electronically than by open outcry when it comes to hard red spring wheat,” Bagan says. “Of the top ten, each of them trade more than double the amount electronically as they do by open outcry. They are already making the adjustment.” By bringing together the open outcry and electronic liquidity, Bagan says tighter bid/offer spreads will result, benefiting all participants.

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Regulatory rumble at FIA Chicago

Wednesday, November 12th, 2008

In one of his last addresses at the helm of the agency (he will step down at the start of the new Obama administration), Commodity Futures Trading Commmission (CFTC) Acting Chairman Walt Lukken called for an overhaul of the U.S. regulatory system at the Futures Industry Association‘s annual expo in Chicago yesterday. Lukken proposed a three-pronged objectives-based regulatory system consisting of a systemic risk regulator, a market integrity regulator and an investor protection regulator. Under his proposal, the functions of the CFTC, SEC and banking regulators would be dispersed among the three regulatory authorities. Like countless other industry leaders, Lukken vetoed the idea of an SEC-CFTC merger, saying it “would be ineffective and would only reinforce our outdated regulatory structure.”

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Murphy resurfaces

Tuesday, November 4th, 2008

Futures industry veteran Joe Murphy has joined R.J. O’Brien & Associates (RJO) as Executive Vice President and President of the Americas, affective immediately.

I found that out quite by accident, running into Murphy in the lobby of our building—which is the same building that RJO is located.

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