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	<title>Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact &#187; S&amp;P</title>
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		<title>It&#8217;s about time: S&amp;P sued over mortgage ratings</title>
		<link>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2012/01/26/its-about-time-sp-sued-over-mortgage-ratings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2012/01/26/its-about-time-sp-sued-over-mortgage-ratings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 18:25:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael McFarlin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage-backed securities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ratings agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/?p=3201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It only took four years, but S&#38;P finally is being sued over the high ratings it gave to mortgage-backed securities leading up to the nation&#8217;s housing meltdown. Illinois joined Connecticut and Ohio yesterday in filing a lawsuit against the ratings agency alleging that the firm put profits ahead of proper ratings. In a statement, Lisa [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It only took four years, but S&amp;P finally is being sued over the high ratings it gave to mortgage-backed securities leading up to the nation&#8217;s housing meltdown. Illinois joined Connecticut and Ohio yesterday in filing a lawsuit against the ratings agency alleging that the firm put profits ahead of proper ratings.</p>
<p><span id="more-3201"></span>In a statement, Lisa Madigan, Illinois attorney general, said S&amp;P compromised its independence by issuing the ratings as part of a strategy to boost market share and win more business from banks that created the securities instruments. &#8220;Privately, S&amp;P abandoned its principles and instead used every trick possible to give deals high ratings in order to retain clients and generate revenue,&#8221; she said in a statement.</p>
<p>According to Madigan, much of the lawsuit focuses on S&amp;P&#8217;s claims of independent ratings, which she says was not the case. Instead, she says S&amp;P went out of its way to cater to investment banks and give artificial ratings just to win more of their business.</p>
<p>Considering that it has been four years since the financial meltdown, the number of Congressional hearings that have been devoted to uncovering what the rating agencies did leading up to the crisis and at least one new law (Dodd-Frank) has parts devoted to lessening the power wielded by ratings agencies, it&#8217;s hard to imagine what took so long for these lawsuits.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s your opinion? Do credit rating agencies still have too much power? Do they still serve a useful purpose?</p>
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		<title>Global warning</title>
		<link>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2011/08/24/global-warning/</link>
		<comments>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2011/08/24/global-warning/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Aug 2011 18:16:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ginger Szala</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit rating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/?p=3048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The day after the infamous downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Standard &#38; Poor’s, I had lunch with a long-time friend who has taught me much about the markets. I noted I was annoyed by what the agency had done and said people should dump McGraw Hill stock. She was more sanguine and said [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="Pagination">
<p dir="ltr"><img src="http://www.futuresmag.com/SiteCollectionImages/Mugshots/mugGingerGszala.gif" border="0" alt="" hspace="10" align="left" />The day after the infamous downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Standard &amp; Poor’s, I had lunch with a long-time friend who has taught me much about the markets. I noted I was annoyed by what the agency had done and said people should dump McGraw Hill stock. She was more sanguine and said that S&amp;P probably wanted to show some independence after the financial crisis of 2008 and its part in it. My response: Helluva time to show some spine.</p>
<p dir="ltr">And bad spine at that. As I read the S&amp;P report and its sovereign committee’s reasoning behind it — in summary, Washington is broken — I admit to agreeing with some of the points. But as others have said, it should be the numbers, not the politics, that S&amp;P is judging. Further, when a credit agency has been as much debased as S&amp;P, its decision, to quote CME Chairman Terry Duffy, was &#8220;a joke.&#8221;<span id="more-3048"></span></p>
<div id="bodyAd"><script src="http://oascentral.nationalunderwriter.com/RealMedia/ads/adstream_jx.ads/www.futures.com/forex/Issues/2011/September-2011/Pages/Global-warning.aspx/1120118241414@!" type="text/javascript"></script><noscript></noscript></div>
<p dir="ltr">Although many talking heads attributed the following week’s whipsaw stock market fluctuations to the downgrade, the action didn’t have much impact. After all, two other credit rating agencies kept America at AAA. Perhaps even better proof of this and a bit of irony: U.S. Treasuries rallied, showing where people put their money in volatile times. Stocks were dumped and U.S. bonds were bought despite record low yields, which as the <em>Financial Times</em> noted: &#8220;Take inflation into account and the yield on U.S. government bonds maturing in the next 10 years is negative.&#8221;</p>
<p dir="ltr">Turns out the market swoon was due to several factors, both fundamental and technical, but a key theme was the continued instability of Europe: Riots in London, French banks under pressure and possible debt contagion spreading beyond Greece — still.</p>
<p dir="ltr">On the currency front, the Swiss franc and Japanese yen rallied, taking over the U.S. dollar’s share as a safe haven, while the dollar weakened but stayed within its channel. China seemed unmoved and unworried about America paying its debts but was disturbed by the public display of dislike our policy makers had for each other. Of course China would say that, but even I’m a bit disturbed by not so much the display, but the foolish stubbornness of certain political factions that choose fiction over fact every time.</p>
<p dir="ltr">The trouble is, all these dramas take away from what really is needed: Employment stimulus. Perhaps it was some good news that bolstered some of the market, including a rise in nonfarm payroll, up 117,000 in July, and unemployment claims that had dropped below 400,000 for the first time in four months. For a market desperate for some good news — especially on jobs — this helped support a rally.</p>
<p dir="ltr">In<strong> &#8220;<a href="http://www.futuresmag.com/Issues/2011/September-2011/Pages/outlook-currencies.aspx" target="_blank">Currencies outlook: Winning the ugly contest</a>,&#8221; by Assistant Editor Michael McFarlin</strong>, analysts note a key concern is that as we move away from a stimulus environment and settle into a period of austerity, we could find ourselves, and the U.S. dollar, in a deeper funk. One analyst even suggested the need for a third quantitative easing package.</p>
<p dir="ltr">One thing confuses me in the discussion about spending cuts and holding the line on taxes. Our tax rates haven’t been this low since 1950. Due to deductions, income, etc., about 47% of Americans don’t pay any federal income tax. And yet, when Bill Clinton pushed through a deficit reduction program in 1993 that in fact increased taxes on the more affluent, we went through the longest economic expansion in our history. So if it’s true that &#8220;Reagan proved deficits don’t matter,&#8221; as Dick Cheney said, why aren’t we following the same road that led us to the prosperity and growth of the 1990s and even would have gotten a AAA rating from S&amp;P?</p>
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		<title>Fun with indexes</title>
		<link>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2010/02/02/fun-with-indexes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2010/02/02/fun-with-indexes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 22:14:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Christine Birkner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CME Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://buytherumorsellthefact.com/?p=2052</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CME Group is in talks to buy Dow Jones Indexes, according to The Financial Times, which reports that a deal would cost CME Group $700 million. This Wall Street Journal story cites the advantages of the deal, including cost cutting (as CME Group now pays Dow Jones licensing fees) and protecting the CME Group&#8217;s existing business lines. It&#8217;s unclear [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.cmegroup.com" target="_blank">CME Group</a> is in talks to buy <a href="http://www.djindexes.com" target="_blank">Dow Jones Indexes</a>, according to <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e07c0b62-0f9a-11df-b10f-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">The Financial Times</a>, which reports that a deal would cost CME Group $700 million. This <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2010/02/01/why-it-makes-sense-for-cme-to-buy-the-dow/" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal story</a> cites the advantages of the deal, including cost cutting (as CME Group now pays Dow Jones licensing fees) and protecting the CME Group&#8217;s existing business lines. It&#8217;s unclear how or if this would affect CME Group&#8217;s current exclusive licensing agreement with S&amp;P indexes. A CME Group spokesperson would not comment on anything specific. Do you think the deal will happen? Would it affect your trading? Leave your thoughts in the comments section below.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>New low</title>
		<link>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2008/10/24/new-low/</link>
		<comments>http://www.buytherumorsellthefact.com/2008/10/24/new-low/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 23:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Collins</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market bottom?]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://buytherumorsellthefact.com/2008/10/24/new-low/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&#38;P 500 dropped significantly on Friday settling below the multi-year low close from Oct. 10. The low close in the Dow, 8,378.95, goes back to April 2003 and the close in the S&#38;P,866, goes back to March of 2003. Despite intraday losses each of the last two days, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&amp;P 500 dropped significantly on Friday settling below the multi-year low close from Oct. 10. The low close in the Dow, 8,378.95, goes back to April 2003 and the close in the S&amp;P,866, goes back to March of 2003. Despite intraday losses each of the last two days, both indexes managed to stage strong end-of day rallies to settle above the <a href="http://www.futuresmag.com/cms/futures/Breaking%20News/2008/10/24-oct06">Oct. 10 low close</a>.</p>
<p><span id="more-1233"></span><br />
Many analysts had pegged the Oct.10 sell-off as a possible long-term market bottom and the furious rallies in the last 20 minutes of trading Wednesday and Thursday taking both indexes above the Oct. 10 closing prices (891 in the S&amp;P and 8,451 in the Dow) confirmed this as an important technical level.</p>
<p>Ever since the subprime mortgage and resultant credit crisis hit more than a year ago, market analysts have been trying to declare that the worst is over and a bottom is in. But it took us quite a long time to get in this mess and it will probably take just as long to get out.</p>
<p>It would be wise to question anyone declaring a market low.</p>
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